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Publications on Income Inequality

Measuring Labor Earnings Inequality Using Public-Use March Current Population Survey Data: The Value of Including Variance and Cell Means when Imputing Topcoded Values
Joint with Richard Burkhauser and Shuiazhang Feng

Economics Letters
Extended Working Paper Version (NBER Working Paper w14458)
Research Poster presented at SOLE, 2009
Abstract: Using the Census Bureau’s internal March Current Population Surveys (CPS) file, we construct and make available variances and cell means for all topcoded income values in the public-use version of these data. We then provide a procedure that allows researchers with access only to the public-use March CPS data to take advantage of this added information when imputing its topcoded income values. As an example of its value we show how our new procedure improves on existing imputation methods in the labor earnings inequality literature.

Using Internal CPS Data to Reevaluate Trends in Labor-Earnings Gaps
Joint with Richard Burkhauser

Monthly Labor Review 132 (August 2009), 3-18
download paper as a PDF (via. Bureau of Labor Statistics website)
Abstract: Most empirical studies of trends in labor earnings gaps by gender, race or education level are based on data from the public use March Current Population Survey (CPS). Using the internal March CPS, we show that inconsistent topcoding in the public use data will understate these gaps and inaccurately capture their trends. We create a cell mean series beginning in 1975 that provides the mean of all values above the topcode for each income source in the public use March CPS and better approximate earnings gaps found in the internal March CPS than was previously possible using publically available data.

Better Estimates of Income and Its Distribution in the Public-Use March Current Population Survey
Joint with Richard Burkhauser

U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 Research Report: Center for Economic Studies and Research Data Centers (Chapter 4), Washington, DC: GPO (2009) Download full research report as a PDF (via. U.S. Census Bureau CES website)
Abstract: The March Current Population Survey (CPS) is the primary data source used by public policy researchers and administrators to investigate trends in U.S. income and its distribution. For con?dentiality reasons, the U.S. Census Bureau topcodes each of the 24 sources of income (11 income sources prior to 1988) in the public-use CPS. However, this topcoding — the suppression of income values above some level in the public-use CPS data for confidentiality reasons - has not been consistent over time. Below we discuss a new set of papers that offer a solution to this problem using a series of created values, which, when used together with the public-use CPS data, will closely approximate income and inequality levels and their trends based on the internal CPS.

Consistent Cell Means for Topcoded Incomes in the Public Use March CPS (1976-2007)
Joint with Richard Burkhauser, Shuiazhang Feng, and Laura Zayatz

Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 33 (2008), 89-128
download paper as a PDF*
Abstract: Using the internal March CPS, we create and in this paper distribute to the larger research community a cell mean series that provides the mean of all income values above the topcode for any income source of any individual in the public use March CPS that has been topcoded since 1976. We also describe our construction of this series. When we use this series together with the public use March CPS, we closely match the yearly mean income levels and income inequalities of the U.S. population found using the internal March CPS data.


Working Papers on Income Inequality

The Impact of Changing Earnings Distributions and Household Characteristics on US Income Inequality Trends since 1967

(Job Market Paper)
Working Paper
Abstract: While much of the research on the rise in inequality in the United States since the 1960s has focused on labor earnings inequality, there is little evidence regarding how closely these labor earnings inequality trends correlate to broader measures of income inequality. This paper first compares male and female labor earnings inequality to that of household income. It then uses a shift-share analysis to analyze the change in income inequality accunted for by changes in male and female earnings distributions and changing household characteristics. In doing so, it is evident that the factors contributing to the rapid rise in household income inequality in the 1970s and 1980s differ substantially from those contributing to the slower increase in the 1990s. In contrast to findings for the 1970s and 1980s, in more recent years increases in male earnings inequality largely account for the changes in household income inequality while assortative mating and changes in the correlation between male and female earnings have mitigated household income inequality growth.

Recent Trends in Top Income Shares in the USA: Reconciling Estimates from March CPS and IRS Tax Return Data
Joint with Richard Burkhauser, Shauizhang Feng, and Stephen Jenkins

NBER Working Paper w15320
Abstract: Although the vast majority of US research on trends in the inequality of family income is based on public-use March Current Population Survey (CPS) data, a new wave of research based on Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax return data reports substantially higher levels of inequality and faster growing trends. We show that these apparently inconsistent estimates can largely be reconciled once one uses internal CPS data (which better captures the top of the income distribution than public-use CPS data) and defines the income distribution in the same way. Using internal CPS data for 1967–2006, we closely match the IRS data-based estimates of top income shares reported by Piketty and Saez (2003), with the exception of the share of the top 1 percent of the distribution during 1993–2000. Our results imply that, if inequality has increased substantially since 1993, the increase is confined to income changes for those in the top 1 percent of the distribution.

Trends in United States Income Inequality Using the March Current Population Survey: The Importance of Controlling for Censoring
Joint with Richard Burkhauser, Shauizhang Feng, and Stephen Jenkins

NBER Working Paper w14247
Abstract: Using internal and public use March Current Population Survey (CPS) data, we analyze trends in US income inequality (1975-2004). We find that the upward trend in income inequality prior to 1993 significantly slowed thereafter once we control for top coding in the public use data and censoring in the internal data. Because both series do not capture trends at the very top of the income distribution, we use a multiple imputation approach in which values for censored observations are imputed using draws from a Generalized Beta distribution of the Second Kind (GB2) fitted to internal data. Doing so, we find income inequality trends similar to those derived from unadjusted internal data. Our trend results are generally robust to the choice of inequality index, whether Gini coefficient or other commonly-used indices.

Measuring Inequality with Censored Data: A Multiple Imputation Approach
Joint with Stephen Jenkins, Richard Burkhauser, and Shuaizhang Feng

CES Working Paper CES-WP-09-05
Abstract: To measure income inequality with right censored (topcoded) data, we propose multiple imputation for censored observations using draws from Generalized Beta of the Second Kind distributions to provide partially synthetic datasets analyzed using complete data methods. Estimation and inference uses Reiter’s (Survey Methodology 2003) formulae. Using Current Population Survey (CPS) internal data, we find few statistically significant differences in income inequality for pairs of years between 1995 and 2004. We also show that using CPS public use data with cell mean imputations may lead to incorrect inferences about inequality differences. Multiply-imputed public use data provide an intermediate solution.

*Reprinted from Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 33, Larrimore, Jeff, Richard Burkhauser, Shuaizhang Feng, and Laura Zayatz, "Consistent Cell Means for Topcoded Incomes in the Public Use March CPS (1976-2007)", 89-128, Copyright (2008), with permission from IOS Press

Contact Information

Jeff Larrimore
Department of Economics
404 Uris Hall
Cornell University
Ithaca, NY 14853
E-mail: jhl42@cornell.edu